Population Statistics

If there were only eight people on Noah's Ark and that was about 4000 to 5000 years ago, then how do you explain the fact that there are six Billion people on earth today?

The answer to this question, in my opinion, is one of the most convincing arguments for a young age of the earth.   Population size and population growth rates indicate that the creation model of a young earth is a much more realistic explanation of the past then the old ages proposed by the evolution model.

It is important to understand the rate of population growth.  It does not seem like much for a population to double from eight people to sixteen people.  However, when a population doubles from three billion to six billion people it seems incredible but it is the same rate of growth.  Like compound interest, the amount of people being added each year grows very fast.  The growth rate of the world's population today has been estimated at about 2 % per year.  The average growth rate needed to produce the six billion people in today's population from Noah's three sons and their wives is only 0.5% per year.  In other words, today's population on earth is well within the range it would be if only eight people started populating the earth about 4300 years ago.  Of course, many things including war and disease affect population growth and the calculations are influenced by many unknown events of history.  However, even when considering these variables, what is known about true history remarkably confirms the ages proposed by the Bible and illustrates the impossibility of millions of years.

John Morris in his excellent book, The Young Earth, convincingly demonstrates the problems with the old-earth position by considering the simple mathematics of population statistics.  "…Suppose man has been around for one million years, as evolutionists teach.  If present rates are typical there should be about 10 to the power 8600 people alive today!  That's 10 with 8600 zeros following it.  This number is obviously absurd, and no evolutionist would claim it to be accurate."  To illustrate how outrageous this large number is, consider the number of seconds that have ticked off the clock since the beginning of time on the evolutionist's timescale.   Today, evolutionists estimate the age of the universe from 12 to 15 billion years old, but for the sake of example let's say it's 30 billion years old.  The number of seconds in 30 billion years is less than 10 to the 18th power!

If a two percent growth rate seems too high, Morris continues, "…Let's assume man has been here for one million years.  We can calculate the population grown rate necessary to produce today's population in that length of time from an original pair, and we find it to be only 0.002 percent, quite different from known measured rates throughout recorded history."

"Even so, starting one million years ago, with a growth rate of 0.002 percent, and a present population of six billion, can you guess how many people would have lived and died throughout history?  The number is so large, it is meaningless, and it's approximately the number which could just fit inside the volume of the entire earth!  If all these people lived and died, where are their bones?"

In addition to the obvious problem with the lack of human bones in the fossil record many other problems exist; what about: the bones of the millions of years of human ancestors, the bones of the animals (not just one million years but 300 million years) , the volume of plants that would have existed during this time, etc.  Thus, considering the most conservative estimates of the evolutionary timescale the numbers just don't add up for evolution.  (Rather, the numbers add up too much.)

One final point: the evolutionary idea proposes a "stone age" of about 100,000 years estimating that about 10 to 100 million people lived.  Don Batten in his column "Where are all the people?" in the Creation Magazine comments, "If there were just one million people alive during that time, with an average generation time of 25 years, they should have buried 4 billion bodies, and many artifacts…If the evolutionary timescale were correct, then we would expect the skeletons of the buried bodies to be largely still present after 100,000 years, because many ordinary bones claimed to be much older have been found."

Explaining today's population is very simple considering the timescale given to us by God in the Bible.  Attempting to explain population statistics with the evolutionary chronology requires smoke and mirrors.  Do not misunderstand; it is impossible to draw firm conclusions about unknown history from population statistics or any other area of science for that matter.  Even with all its variables, however, population statistics make the idea that man first appeared one million years ago incongruous, illogical and absurd.   On the other hand, the simple mathematics involved in calculating the earth's population is well within the range proposed by Biblical chronology.

7/14/01
Page 74

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©Tom Carpenter
Originally published in the Rockdale/Newton Citizen